倊倇倇倥倸 90 俱倢倓倝倐値個倓倢倒倰倓倧倸倝俷俱倢倓倕俷倇倨倉 (倅倝倉俸倊) (倏倓倥)
倊倇倇倥倸 90 俱倢倓倝倐値個倓倢倒倰倓倧倸倝俷俱倢倓倕俷倇倨倉 (倅倝倉俸倊)
“倊倢俷倇倥倇倨俱俴倉倝倢俸俸倠倰俴倒倴倄倹倒値倉們倢倗倸倢 倳倉倅倸倢俷個倓倠倰倇倘倰俴倒們倥俴倉倳俺倹俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值們倢俴倢倄俱倢倓倃值倌倕倚倕倢俱 倱倕倹倗俱倷倇倣倰俷値倉倴倄倹倰個倷倉俱倝倊倰個倷倉俱倣 倱倕倹倗倆倹倢倛倢俱倎倗俱倰倓倢倳俺倹俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值們倢倰個値倄倅倕倢倄倛倨倹倉 A-share 倕倸倠 俸倠倰俱値倄倝倠倴倓俲倦倹倉?”
倰倌値俷倰俱倝倰個値倄倰俴倓倧倸倝俷俹倢倒倲個倓倰俸俴倰倅倝倓值 個倓倢俱俿倐倢倎俱倓倢倏倱倉倗倲倉倹們 120 倗倡倉倇倣俱倢倓 倱倚倄俷倳倛倹倇倨俱俴倉倰倛倷倉倝倒倸倢俷俺倡倄倰俸倉
“倉倥倸俴倧倝倐倢倎俱倓倢倏倱倉倗倲倉倹們 120 倗倡倉倇倣俱倢倓俲倝俷倄倡俺倉倥倰俻倥倸倒俷倴倞倹俴倝們倲倎倚値倅倇倥倸倌們倅倡倄倅倝倉們倢倉倠俴倓倡倊 個倓倡倊倅倡倗倚倩俷俲倦倹倉 74 倗倡倉 個倓倡倊倅倡倗倕倄倕俷 46 倗倡倉 俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉倳倉俱倢倓個倓倡倊倅倡倗倚倩俷俲倦倹倉俴倧倝 61.7% 倚們們倅値倗倸倢倎倗俱倰倓倢倒倡俷俴俷倝倒倩倸倳倉倗倡俿俸倡俱倓俲倢俲倦倹倉倉倥倹 倲倄倒倴們倸倎値俸倢倓倃倢個倡俸俸倡倒倝倧倸倉倶 俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉倇倥倸倗倡倉倇倣俱倢倓倆倡倄倴個俸倠個倓倡倊倅倡倗倚倩俷俲倦倹倉俱倷俴倧倝 61.7% 倇倨俱俴倉倓倩倹倚倦俱倗倸倢俱倢倓倕俷倇倨倉們倡倉俱倕倢倒倰個倷倉倰倓倧倸倝俷俷倸倢倒們倢俱倰倕倒倳俺倸倴倛們俴倓倡倊?”
“倱倅倸倉倥倸們倡倉倌値倄倉倠俴倓倡倊 倆倹倢俸倠倎倩倄倳倛倹倆倩俱俱倷俴倧倝 倅倕倢倄倇倨倉倴們倸倳俺倸個倡俽倛倢俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉俷倸倢倒倶 倱倅倸倰個倷倉個倡俽倛倢倇倢俷俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值倇倥倸倰俱倥倸倒倗俲倹倝俷俱倡倊俱倢倓倅倸倝倚倩倹俺値俷倴倛倗俺値俷倎倓値倊倓倠倛倗倸倢俷倉倡俱倕俷倇倨倉倓倢倒倒倸倝倒俱倡倊倰俸倹倢們倧倝 倌們倰倓倥倒俱們倡倉倗倸倢倅倡倗倱個倓倱倛倸俷俱倢倓倅倸倝倚倩倹”
倰倌値俷倰俱倝俴倕値俱倰們倢倚值倰倊倢倶 倰個倕倥倸倒倉倴個倒倡俷倛倉倹倢倆倡倄倴個俲倝俷倚倴倕倄值倉倣倰倚倉倝
倊倉俸倝倲個倓倰俸俴倰倅倝倓值 個倓倢俱俿倐倢倎倌倩倹俺倢倒俴倉倛倉倦倸俷俱倡倊倌倩倹倛俽値俷俴倉倛倉倦倸俷 倄倹倢倉倕倸倢俷倳倉倎倧倹倉倇倥倸倗倸倢俷倒倡俷們倥倈倉倊倡倅倓俸倥倉倚倥倸倳倊倗倢俷倝倒倩倸
“倅倸倝倴個倌們俸倠倳俺倹倅倡倗倝倒倸倢俷倛倉倦倸俷 們倢倝倈値倊倢倒倆倦俷倅倡倗倱個倓倳倉俱倢倓倅倸倝倚倩倹倉倠俴倓倡倊”
倰俲倢倛倒倨倄倴個俴倓倩倸倛倉倦倸俷 倓倗倊倓倗們俴倗倢們俴値倄倱倕倹倗倎倩倄倗倸倢: “倄倡俷倇倥倸倱倚倄俷倳倉倐倢倎 倌倩倹倛俽値俷俺倗倉倌倩倹俺倢倒倰倕倸倉倰俱們倰倛倓倥倒俽 倇倡倹俷倚倝俷俴倉倅倸倢俷俱倷倆倧倝倰倛倓倥倒俽俴倉倕倠倰倛倓倥倒俽 倆倹倢倛倢俱倰倛倓倥倒俽倇倡倹俷倚倝俷倰倛倓倥倒俽倝倝俱倛倡倗倰倛們倧倝倉俱倡倉 倌倩倹倛俽値俷俸倠倳倛倹倰俷値倉倌倩倹俺倢倒倚倢們倛倒倗倉 倆倹倢倛倢俱倝倝俱俱倹倝倒倰倛們倧倝倉俱倡倉 倌倩倹倛俽値俷俱倷俸倠倅倹倝俷倳倛倹倰俷値倉倌倩倹俺倢倒倛倉倦倸俷倛倒倗倉倰俺倸倉俱倡倉 倱倅倸倆倹倢倛倢俱倰倛倓倥倒俽倝倝俱倛倡倗倛倉倦倸俷俱倹倝倒倛倉倦倸俷 倌倩倹俺倢倒俸倠倅倹倝俷倳倛倹倰俷値倉倌倩倹倛俽値俷倚倝俷倛倒倗倉”
“倆倹倢倛倢俱倎倗俱倰倓倢倉倣倇倔候俾倥俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉們倢倳俺倹 俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉倇倥倸倇倡倹俷倚倝俷俴倉俸倠倝倝俱倛倡倗倰倛們倧倝倉俱倡倉俴倧倝倛倉倦倸俷倳倉倚倥倸 俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉倇倥倸俸倠倝倝俱俱倹倝倒倰倛們倧倝倉俱倡倉俱倷俴倧倝倛倉倦倸俷倳倉倚倥倸倰俺倸倉俱倡倉 倚倸倗倉俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉倇倥倸俸倠倝倝俱倛倡倗倛倉倦倸俷俱倹倝倒倛倉倦倸俷俴倧倝倛倉倦倸俷倳倉倚倝俷”
“倱倇倉俴倸倢倳倉倚倩倅倓俴倣倉倗倃 E = 1/4 × 3 + 1/4 × 1 + 1/2 × (-2) = 0 倉倡倸倉俱倷倛們倢倒俴倗倢們倗倸倢 倌倕倅倝倊倱倇倉倲倄倒倰俹倕倥倸倒俲倝俷倌倩倹俺倢倒倳倉俱倢倓倰倕倸倉倰俱們倰倛倓倥倒俽倉倥倹倰倇倸倢俱倡倊倘倩倉倒值”
“個倓倠倰倄倷倉倚倣俴倡俽們倢倱倕倹倗俴倓倡倊”
倰倌値俷倰俱倝俲倦倹倉倰倚倥倒俷倚倩俷 倱倕倹倗倎倩倄倅倸倝倗倸倢: “倰俱們倉倥倹倴們倸倳俺倸倱俴倸俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉倈倓倓們倄倢倶 倱倅倸們倡倉俲倦倹倉倝倒倩倸俱倡倊俱倢倓倇倥倸倌倩倹俺倢倒俱倡倊倌倩倹倛俽値俷倰倕倧倝俱倇倥倸俸倠倝倝俱倛倡倗倛倓倧倝俱倹倝倒 倰倛倷倉倴倄倹俺倡倄倗倸倢倇倡倹俷倚倝俷俴倉倰個倷倉倴個倴們倸倴倄倹倇倥倸俸倠倝倝俱倱倅倸倛倡倗倛倓倧倝倝倝俱倱倅倸俱倹倝倒倅倕倝倄倰倗倕倢 倰倎倓倢倠倅倸倢俷俱倷倅倹倝俷俱倢倓俸倠倴倄倹倰俷値倉倳倉俱倓倠倰個倻倢俲倝俷倝倥俱倍倸倢倒 倉倥倸倱倛倕倠俴倓倡倊俴倧倝倅倡倗倱個倓倱倛倸俷俱倢倓倅倸倝倚倩倹”
“倛倢俱倉倣倅倡倗倝倒倸倢俷俲倹倢俷倅倹倉們倢個倓倠倒倨俱倅值倳俺倹俱倡倊倅倕倢倄倛倨倹倉俱倷倰俺倸倉倰倄倥倒倗俱倡倉 倛倨倹倉倰個倷倉倴個倴們倸倴倄倹倇倥倸俸倠個倓倡倊倅倡倗倚倩俷俲倦倹倉倇倨俱倗倡倉 倉倡俱倕俷倇倨倉倓倢倒倒倸倝倒俱倡倊倰俸倹倢們倧倝俱倷俴倧倝倚倝俷倅倡倗倕倠俴倓倇倥倸俱倣倕倡俷倅倸倝倚倩倹俺値俷倴倛倗俺値俷倎倓値倊俱倡倉倝倒倩倸”
“倚們們倅値倗倸倢倎倗俱倰倓倢倰個倷倉倰俸倹倢們倧倝 俸倠倇倣倝倒倸倢俷倴倓倆倦俷俸倠倚倢們倢倓倆倰俱倷倊倰俱倥倸倒倗倉倡俱倕俷倇倨倉倓倢倒倒倸倝倒倴倄倹倝倒倸倢俷們倡倸倉俴俷?”
倰們倧倸倝俴倣倆倢們倆倩俱倲倒倉倝倝俱倴個 倰倌値俷倰俱倝俱倷俱倗倢倄倅倢們倝俷倉倡俱倘倦俱候倢倇倥倸倝倒倩倸倳倉倉倡倹倉 倉倡俱倘倦俱候倢倇倥倸倚倊倅倢俱倡倊倰俲倢倅倸倢俷俱倷俱倹們倛倉倹倢倕俷 倴們倸俱倕倹倢倇倥倸俸倠們倝俷倅倓俷倶
倱們倹倱倅倸倉倡俱倘倦俱候倢倱倕俱倰個倕倥倸倒倉俸倢俱們倛倢'倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倛倡倗倛倒倢俷倚倝俷倚倢們俴倉 倳倉倅倝倉倉倥倹倅倸倢俷俱倷俱倹們倛倉倹倢倕俷倰俷倥倒倊倶 倚値倸俷倇倥倸俴倃倊倄倥俴倃倠俱倢倓倰俷値倉俲倝俷倎倗俱倰俲倢倎倩倄倉倡倹倉 倎倗俱倰俲倢倴們倸倰俴倒倴倄倹倚倡們倌倡倚們倢俱倸倝倉倰倕倒 倒倡俷俴俷俱倣倕倡俷倎倒倢倒倢們俴値倄倅倢們倝倒倸倢俷倛倉倡俱倝倒倩倸
倚倢俲倢俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值俱倢倓倰俷値倉 倉倥倸們倡倉俴倧倝倰倚倹倉倇倢俷倇倥倸倓倢倊倓倧倸倉俻倦倸俷倚倢們倢倓倆倉倣倴個倚倩倸個倓倠倅倩倱倛倸俷俱倢倓倰個倷倉倉倡俱倗値俺倢俱倢倓倴倄倹倰倕倒倉倠
倰倛倝俸値倹俷倇倥倸倉倡倸俷倝倒倩倸倱倆倗倇倥倸倚倢們 倛倕倡俷俸倢俱俴倓倨倸倉俴値倄倝倒倩倸俴倓倩倸倛倉倦倸俷 俱倷倅倝倊倝倒倸倢俷倳俸倰倒倷倉倗倸倢: “倆倹倢倳俺倹倰俱們倰倛倓倥倒俽倰們倧倸倝倚倡俱俴倓倩倸們倢倅倝倊倉倠俴倠 倚們們倅値倗倸倢倌倩倹倛俽値俷倰個倷倉倰俸倹倢們倧倝 倰倈倝俸倠俴倗倊俴倨們俴倗倢們倆倥倸倳倉俱倢倓倝倝俱倛倡倗 倰倎倓倢倠倆倹倢倛倢俱倇倡倹俷倚倝俷倍倸倢倒倝倝俱倛倡倗倰倛們倧倝倉俱倡倉 倌倩倹倛俽値俷俸倠倅倹倝俷倰倚倥倒倚倢們倛倒倗倉 倱倅倸倆倹倢倛倢俱倇倡倹俷倚倝俷倍倸倢倒倝倝俱俱倹倝倒倰倛們倧倝倉俱倡倉 倌倩倹倛俽値俷俸倠倰倚倥倒倰倎倥倒俷倱俴倸倛倉倦倸俷倛倒倗倉 俱倢倓倕倄俴倗倢們倆倥倸倳倉俱倢倓倝倝俱倛倡倗 俱倷俴倧倝俱倢倓倕倄俴倗倢們倉倸倢俸倠倰個倷倉倳倉俱倢倓倰倚倥倒倰俷値倉俴倸倠”
“倆倩俱倅倹倝俷俴倓倡倊”
倰倌値俷倰俱倝們倝俷倰倛倝俸値倹俷倝倒倸倢俷俺倧倸倉俺們 倱倕倹倗倗値倰俴倓倢倠倛值倰俱們倰倛倓倥倒俽倉倥倹倗倸倢: “倰俱們倰倛倓倥倒俽倉倥倹倄倩倰倛們倧倝倉俸倠倒倨倅値倈倓倓們 倱倅倸俸倓値俷倶 倱倕倹倗倴們倸倳俺倸倰倕倒 倌倩倹倛俽値俷倚倢們倢倓倆倰倕倧倝俱倇倥倸俸倠倝倝俱俱倹倝倒倰倎倧倸倝俸倣俱倡倄俱倢倓俲倢倄倇倨倉倴倄倹 倱倅倸倌倩倹俺倢倒俱倕倡倊倴們倸們倥倇倢俷倰倕倧倝俱倳倉俱倢倓俸倣俱倡倄俱倢倓俲倢倄倇倨倉倰倕倒 倰俲倢倅倹倝俷俱倢倓俸倠倇倣俱倣倴倓倚倩俷倚倨倄 俱倷俸倠倅倹倝俷倎倒倢倒倢們倝倝俱倛倡倗倳倛倹倴倄倹們倢俱倇倥倸倚倨倄 倌倸倢倉倅倡倗倱個倓倱倛倸俷俱倢倓倅倸倝倚倩倹俱倷倚倢們倢倓倆俴倗倊俴倨們俸値倅倳俸俲倝俷倉倡俱倕俷倇倨倉倓倢倒倒倸倝倒倴倄倹倝倒倸倢俷俷倸倢倒倄倢倒倱倕倹倗俴倓倡倊”
“倊倢俷倇倥倝倢俸俸倠們倥俴倉倎倩倄倗倸倢 倌倩倹俺倢倒個倓倡倊倰個倕倥倸倒倉倴個倝倝俱俱倹倝倒俱倷倚倢們倢倓倆倇倣俱倣倴倓倴倄倹倱倕倹倗倴們倸倳俺倸倰倛倓倝?”
“倌們俲倝倆倢們倇倨俱俴倉倛倉倸倝倒倰倆倝倠俴倓倡倊倗倸倢 倰俲倹倢們倢倳倉倅倕倢倄倛倨倹倉 倳俴倓倊倹倢俷倕倸倠倇倥倸倴們倸倳俺倸們倢倄倹倗倒俴倗倢們俴値倄倇倥倸倲倕倐倝倒倢俱俸倠倓倗倒倕倹倉倏倹倢 俲倝倰倎倥倒俷倱俴倸俴倨倃倒倡俷們倥俴倗倢們倲倕倐 倲倝俱倢倚倇倥倸俴倨倃俸倠倝倝俱倛倡倗俱倷俸倠倒値倸俷們倢俱俲倦倹倉 倉倥倸俸倦俷倰個倷倉倚倢倰倛倅倨倗倸倢倇倣倴們倅倕倢倄倛倨倹倉倆倦俷倆倩俱倰倓倥倒俱倗倸倢倰個倷倉倚値倸俷倇倥倸俲倡倄俱倡倊倈倓倓們俺倢倅値俲倝俷們倉倨候倒值”
“倱個倠 倱個倠 倱個倠—” 倰倚倥倒俷個倓倊們倧倝倄倡俷俲倦倹倉倳倉倛倹倝俷倰倓倥倒倉倇倡倉倇倥
俲倃倠倇倥倸俸倢俷倛倒倢俷俱倣倕倡俷個倓倊們倧倝倝倒倩倸 倰俲倢俱倷倝倄倴們倸倴倄倹倇倥倸俸倠倒倝們倓倡倊倗倸倢倰倌値俷倰俱倝倎倩倄倴倄倹倆倩俱倅倹倝俷俸倓値俷倶
“倌們倳倛倹倰倗倕倢倎倗俱俴倨倃倚倢們倉倢倇倥倳倉俱倢倓俴値倄倉倠俴倓倡倊倗倸倢 俸倠俺倸倗倒倳倛倹倉倡俱倕俷倇倨倉倓倢倒倒倸倝倒倇倣俱倣倴倓倴倄倹倝倒倸倢俷倴倓”
倰們倧倸倝個倓倠倲倒俴倉倥倹倆倩俱倎倩倄倝倝俱們倢 倛倕倥倸倰倚倗倥倸倒倰倛倒倥倒倉 倉倡俱倘倦俱候倢倱倕俱倰個倕倥倸倒倉俸倢俱們倛倢倗値倇倒倢倕倡倒個倡俱俱値倸俷 俱倷倓倥倊倅倝倊俲倦倹倉倇倡倉倇倥倗倸倢: “倅倡倹俷倰倚倹倉倅倡倄俲倢倄倇倨倉俱倡倊倰倚倹倉俻倧倹倝倰倎値倸們 個俿値倊倡倅値倅倢們倗値倉倡倒倝倒倸倢俷倰俴倓倸俷俴倓倡倄 倇倣倳倛倹俴倗倢們倓倩倹俱倡倊俱倢倓俱倓倠倇倣倰個倷倉倛倉倦倸俷倰倄倥倒倗俱倡倉俴倸倠”
“們倥俴倣倅倝倊倝倧倸倉倝倥俱倴倛們俴倓倡倊?” 倰倌値俷倰俱倝倄倩倰倛們倧倝倉俸倠倴們倸倎倝倳俸俱倡倊俴倣倅倝倊倉倥倹倰倇倸倢倴倛倓倸
“倳俺倹倰俴倓倧倸倝俷們倧倝俺倥倹倗倡倄倇倢俷倰倇俴倉値俴倳倛倹倰個倷倉個倓倠倲倒俺倉值 倰俺倸倉 倱倉倗倓倡倊倱倉倗倅倹倢倉 KDJ 倱倕倠 MACD 倰個倷倉倅倹倉 倱倕倠倉倣倰倚倹倉倱倉倗倓倡倊倱倉倗倅倹倢倉倅倢們倚倡倄倚倸倗倉倇倝俷俴倣們倢個倓倠倒倨俱倅值倳俺倹俴倸倠”
“倳俱倕倹倰俴倥倒俷倱倕倹倗俴倓倡倊”
“倓倗倊倓倗們俲倹倝們倩倕倅倕倢倄倛倨倹倉 倳俺倹倱倊倊俸倣倕倝俷倇倢俷俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值倳倉俱倢倓倗値倰俴倓倢倠倛值 倰俺倸倉 倱倊倊俸倣倕倝俷 ARIMA 倛倓倧倝倱倊倊俸倣倕倝俷 GARCH 俴倸倠”
“倴們倸倰倕倗倰倕倒俴倓倡倊 俴倨倃倕倝俷俲倒倢倒俴倗倢們倄倩倛倉倸倝倒倚値” 倰倌値俷倰俱倝俱倷俸倣倴倄倹倰俺倸倉俱倡倉倗倸倢 俴倉倇倥倸倎倩倄倆倦俷倱倊倊俸倣倕倝俷倇倢俷俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值倉倡倹倉倰個倷倉倉倡俱倘倦俱候倢俸倢俱們倛倢'倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倛倡倗倛倒倢俷俲倝俷倰俲倢倰倝俷 俱倷倰倕倒倅倡倹俷倳俸俸倠倳倛倹倰俲倢倴倄倹倱倚倄俷俴倗倢們倚倢們倢倓倆倅倸倝倛倉倹倢倇倨俱俴倉倊倹倢俷
倇倗倸倢俺倢倒俴倉倉倡倹倉俱倕倡倊倝倹倣倶 倝倦倹俷倶 倚倢倒倅倢倛倕倊倰倕倥倸倒俷倝倒倩倸倊倸倝倒俴倓倡倹俷
倰倛倷倉倴倄倹俺倡倄倗倸倢 倰俲倢倓倩倹倰倎倥倒俷倱俴倸倌値倗倰倌値倉 倴們倸倴倄倹倓倩倹倕倦俱倓倩倹俸倓値俷 俴倗倢們俻倡倊俻倹倝倉倇倥倸倱倍俷倝倒倩倸倳倉俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值俱倢倓倰俷値倉倉倡倹倉 倴們倸倳俺倸倉倡俱倘倦俱候倢倚倢俲倢俱倢倓倕俷倇倨倉倇倡倸倗倴個俸倠倚倢們倢倓倆倰俺倥倸倒倗俺倢俽倴倄倹 倝倥俱倝倒倸倢俷倉倥倸俱倷倴們倸倳俺倸倗値俺倢倰倝俱倄倹倗倒
“倰倞倹倝!” 倰倌値俷倰俱倝倆倝倉倛倢倒倳俸倳倉倳俸 俲倃倠倇倥倸倰俲倢俱倣倕倡俷俸倠倰俹倕倒俴倣倅倝倊倉倡倹倉倰倝俷 倰倚倥倒俷倇倨倹們俱倡俷倗倢倉 們倥倰倚倉倸倛值俲倝俷俺倢倒倛倉倨倸們俴倉倛倉倦倸俷俱倷倄倡俷們倢俸倢俱倇倢俷倄倹倢倉俻倹倢倒
“倰們倧倸倝倚倡俱俴倓倩倸倇倸倢倉倉倡俱倗値俺倢俱倢倓倰倌値俷倴倄倹俱倕倸倢倗倆倦俷倅倡倗倱個倓倱倛倸俷俱倢倓倅倸倝倚倩倹 倆倹倢俸倠倳倛倹倎倩倄倳倛倹倆倩俱俱倷俴倧倝倰倓倥倒俱倗倸倢俸倨倄倚們倄倨倕俲倝俷倱倉俺 倌們俴値倄倗倸倢倉倡俱倕俷倇倨倉倓倢倒倒倸倝倒倛倢俱倅倹倝俷俱倢倓俸倠倇倣俱倣倴倓 俱倸倝倉倝倧倸倉俸倠倅倹倝俷倇倣俴倗倢們倰俲倹倢倳俸倅倕倢倄倉倥倹倰倚倥倒俱倸倝倉 俸倢俱倉倡倹倉俸倦俷俴倸倝倒倰個倷倉俱倢倓倅倸倝倚倩倹俺値俷倴倛倗俺値俷倎倓値倊俴倓倡倊”
“倛倧們?” 倚倢倒倅倢俲倝俷倰倌値俷倰俱倝 倎倓倹倝們俱倡倊倇倨俱俴倉 倅倸倢俷俱倷倛倡倉倴個們倝俷倒倡俷倇値倘倇倢俷俲倝俷倅倹倉倰倚倥倒俷
倎倝倰倛倷倉倗倸倢倰個倷倉俸倢俷倛倒倢俷 倰個倹倢俻値俷倰倛倗倸倒俱倷倆倦俷俱倡倊倅俱倳俸倳倉倳俸: “倴倝倹倛倉倨倸們俴倉倉倥倹們倡倉們倥俴倗倢們倓倩倹俱倗倹倢俷俲倗倢俷俲倉倢倄倉倥倹倰倕倒倰倛倓倝? 俲倉倢倄倱倉倗俴値倄倰倓倧倸倝俷俸倨倄倚們倄倨倕俲倝俷倱倉俺倳倉 ‘倇倔候俾倥倰俱們’ 俱倷倒倡俷倓倩倹倄倹倗倒”
“俴倨倃倕倝俷俲倒倢倒俴倗倢們倄倩倛倉倸倝倒倚値” 倰倌値俷倰俱倝們倝俷倚倣倓倗俸俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倱倕倹倗倎倩倄
俴倓倡倹俷倉倥倹倇倥倸倎倗俱倰俲倢們倢們倛倢'倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倞倩倸倅倩 俱倷倰倎倓倢倠倇倦倸俷倳倉倝倡倅倓倢倌倕倅倝倊倱倇倉 57.4% 俲倝俷倰倛倝俸値倹俷 倱倕倠俱倷倝倒倢俱俸倠倓倩倹倄倹倗倒倗倸倢倓倢倒俷倢倉倗値倰俴倓倢倠倛值倅倕倢倄倇倥倸倕倧倝俱倡倉倉倡倹倉 倰個倷倉倍倥們倧倝俲倝俷俸倢俷倛倒倢俷俸倓値俷倶 倛倓倧倝倰個倕倸倢
倎倩倄俱倡倉倅倓俷倶 俱倷俴倧倝 倎倗俱倰俲倢倚俷倚倡倒倗倸倢倰個倹倢俻値俷倰倛倗倸倒倱倝倊 “個倕倸倝倒俲倹倝倚倝倊” 倅倸倢俷倛倢俱 倆倦俷倴倄倹倇倣倳倛倹們倛倢'倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倞倩倸倅倩倳倉個倥倉倥倹倚倢們倢倓倆倰倝倢俺倉倠們倛倢倗値倇倒倢倕倡倒倝倧倸倉倶 倴倄倹倝倒倸倢俷倓倢倊俴倢倊
倅倝倉倰俺倹倢倇倥倸俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倰倄値倉倰俲倹倢倛倹倝俷倰倓倥倒倉們倢 倚倢倒倅倢俲倝俷倰倛倕倸倢俴倃倊倄倥倱倕倠倘倢倚倅倓倢俸倢倓倒值俸倣倉倗倉們倢俱 俱倷倇倣倳倛倹倰俲倢倓倩倹倚倦俱倆倦俷俴倗倢們倴們倸個俱倅値倊倢俷倝倒倸倢俷倝倒倩倸倱倕倹倗
倅倝倉倎倡俱俱倕倢俷倗倡倉 倰俲倢俱倷倴倄倹倲倇倓倴個倆倢們倛倗倡俷俻値俷個倡俷倰個倷倉倎値倰倘候 俸倉倴倄倹倇倓倢倊倰倓倧倸倝俷倓倢倗倰倊倧倹倝俷倛倕倡俷倊倢俷倝倒倸倢俷們倢倊倹倢俷
倳倉倰們倧倸倝倝倥俱倍倸倢倒們倢倝倒倸倢俷倴們倸倰個倷倉們値倅倓 倗値倈倥倅倝倊倲倅倹倇倥倸倄倥倇倥倸倚倨倄俱倷俴倧倝俱倢倓倰倌俺値俽倛倉倹倢倝倐値個倓倢倒俱倡倉倲倄倒倅倓俷
“倰俱倥倸倒倗俱倡倊俴倗倢們倓倩倹俴倗倢們倰俲倹倢倳俸倳倉倅倕倢倄 倌們倝倒倢俱俸倠倳俺倹倰俱們倰倛倓倥倒俽倇倥倸倇倸倢倉倉倡俱倗値俺倢俱倢倓倰倌値俷倴倄倹俱倕倸倢倗倆倦俷倰們倧倸倝倚倡俱俴倓倩倸們倢倝倐値個倓倢倒俴倓倡倊”
俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倚倩倄倛倢倒倳俸倰俲倹倢倕倦俱倶 倓倗倊倓倗們俴倗倢們俴値倄倱倕倹倗倎倩倄倗倸倢: “倚們們倅値倗倸倢俱倢倓倇倥倸倌倩倹俺倢倒倝倝俱倛倡倗俴倧倝 X 倝倝俱俱倹倝倒俴倧倝 1-X 俱倢倓倇倥倸倌倩倹倛俽値俷倝倝俱倛倡倗俴倧倝 Y 倝倝俱俱倹倝倒俴倧倝 1-Y 倰們倇倓値俱俻值倌倕倅倝倊倱倇倉俲倝俷倌倩倹俺倢倒俱倷俴倧倝 XY 倴倄倹俱倣倴倓 3 倛倒倗倉 (1-X) Y 俲倢倄倇倨倉 -2 倛倒倗倉 X (1-Y) 俲倢倄倇倨倉 -2 倛倒倗倉 (1-X) (1-Y) 倴倄倹俱倣倴倓 1 倛倒倗倉”
“倌倩倹俺倢倒倅倹倝俷俱倢倓俸倠俺倉倠倰俷値倉 俱倷俸倠倅倹倝俷個倓倡倊俴倸倢 X 倰倎倧倸倝倳倛倹倝倡倅倓倢倌倕倅倝倊倱倇倉俲倝俷倅倡倗倰倝俷們倢俱俱倗倸倢倘倩倉倒值 倚倸倗倉倌倩倹倛俽値俷俱倷俸倠倅倹倝俷個倓倡倊俴倸倢 Y 倰倎倧倸倝倳倛倹倝倡倅倓倢倌倕倅倝倊倱倇倉俲倝俷倌倩倹俺倢倒倉倹倝倒俱倗倸倢倘倩倉倒值 倛倓倧倝俱倷俴倧倝俲倢倄倇倨倉倉倡倸倉倰倝俷俴倓倡倊”
“俸倢俱俱倢倓俴倣倉倗倃俲倝俷倌們倰們倧倸倝倚倡俱俴倓倩倸倉倥倹 俲倝倰倎倥倒俷倱俴倸倌倩倹倛俽値俷倓倡俱候倢倓倠倄倡倊俴倗倢們倆倥倸倳倉俱倢倓倝倝俱 Y 倴倗倹倇倥倸 3/8 倴們倸倗倸倢倌倩倹俺倢倒俸倠倳俺倹俱倕倒倨倇倈值倳倄俱倷倅倢們 倇倨俱倶 倅倢倲倄倒倰俹倕倥倸倒俱倷俸倠倰倚倥倒倴個 1/8 俴倓倡倊”
“倆倹倢俸倠倎倩倄倳倛倹倰俲倹倢倳俸俷倸倢倒倶 倛倉倸倝倒俱倷俴倧倝 俱倢倓倌倚們倌倚倢倉倇倥倸 (1-X) (1-Y) 倴倄倹俱倣倴倓 1 倛倒倗倉倉倡倹倉 俱倷俴倧倝俱倡倊倄倡俱倇倥倸倌倩倹倛俽値俷倅倡倹俷倴倗倹倉倡倸倉倰倝俷俴倓倡倊 俱倣倴倓 1 倛倒倗倉 倴們倸倚倢們倢倓倆俺倄倰俺倒俴倗倢們倆倥倸倳倉俱倢倓俲倢倄倇倨倉 2 倛倒倗倉倴倄倹倰倕倒 倌倩倹俺倢倒倄倩倰倛們倧倝倉俸倠們倥倲倝俱倢倚俺倉倠倰俷値倉 50% 倱倅倸俸倓値俷倶 倱倕倹倗倲倝俱倢倚俺倉倠們倡倉倰俲倹倢倳俱倕倹倘倩倉倒值倝倒倸倢俷倴們倸們倥倇倥倸倚値倹倉倚倨倄俴倓倡倊”
“倏倩倸—” 倰俲倢倚倩倄倛倢倒倳俸倰俲倹倢倕倦俱倶 倰倉倹倉倰倚倥倒俷倛倉倡俱倱倉倸倉倱倕倹倗倎倩倄倗倸倢: “倉倡倸倉俱倷倛們倢倒俴倗倢們倗倸倢 倰俱們倉倥倹們倡倉倴們倸倴倄倹們倥俴倗倢們倒倨倅値倈倓倓們們倢倅倡倹俷倱倅倸倱倓俱倝倝俱倱倊倊倱倕倹倗俴倓倡倊”
俴倣倎倩倄倱倅倸倕倠俴倣俲倝俷俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倛倉倡俱倱倉倸倉俺倡倄倰俸倉 倄倡俷俱倹倝俷俱倡俷倗倢倉 倚倢倒倅倢俲倝俷倇倨俱俴倉倅倸倢俷俱倷俸倡倊俸倹倝俷倴個倇倥倸倰倇倎俱倢倓倰倓倥倒倉倌倩倹俻倦倸俷倰個倷倉倇倥倸倒倝們倓倡倊俲倝俷倚倢俲倢俱倢倓倕俷倇倨倉們倛倢'倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倞倩倸倅倩俴倉倉倥倹
倴們倸倓倝倳倛倹俴倉倝倧倸倉倴倄倹倚倅値俱倕倡倊們倢 倰俲倢俸倹倝俷們倝俷倰倌値俷倰俱倝倊倉倰倗倇倥倊倓倓倒倢倒倅倓俷倶 倱倕倹倗倎倩倄倅倸倝倗倸倢:
“俱倕倡倊們倢倇倥倸倰倓倧倸倝俷俴倗倢們倓倩倹俴倗倢們倰俲倹倢倳俸倳倉倅倕倢倄 倌們俴値倄倗倸倢倉倡俱倕俷倇倨倉倓倢倒倒倸倝倒倛倢俱倅倹倝俷俱倢倓俸倠倇倣俱倣倴倓倳倉倅倕倢倄倇倨倉 俱倷俸倣倰個倷倉俸倠倅倹倝俷倓倩倹倳倛倹俺倡倄倰俸倉倰倚倥倒俱倸倝倉倗倸倢倅倡倗倰倝俷俱倣倕倡俷倰倕倸倉倰俱們倝倠倴倓倝倒倩倸 俱倢倓倇倣俴倗倢們倰俲倹倢倳俸俱俾倰俱倃倁值倎倧倹倉倀倢倉倝倒倸倢俷倆倸倝俷倱倇倹倰倇倸倢倉倡倹倉 倆倦俷俸倠倚倢們倢倓倆俴倹倉倎倊倓倩個倱倊倊俱倢倓倇倣俱倣倴倓 XY 俲倝俷倅倡倗倰倝俷倴倄倹俴倓倡倊”
倚値倹倉倰倚倥倒俷倎倩倄 倛倹倝俷倰倕俴倰俺倝倓值倇倥倸倰俷倥倒倊俸倉倴倄倹倒値倉倰倚倥倒俷倰俲倷們倅俱俱倷倎倕倡倉們倥倰倚倥倒俷個倓倊們倧倝倇倥倸俴們俺倡倄倄倡俷俲倦倹倉 倰個倷倉倰倌値俷倰俱倝倇倥倸個倓倊們倧倝倝倒倩倸倊倉倰倗倇倥倊倓倓倒倢倒倅倢們倕倣倎倡俷
“倱個倠—”
“倱個倠 倱個倠—”
“倱個倠 倱個倠 倱個倠—”
倰倚倥倒俷個倓倊們倧倝倇倥倕倠倰倚倥倒俷倄倡俷俲倦倹倉倅倢們們倢 倄倡俷俱倹倝俷俱倡俷倗倢倉倴個倇倡倸倗倇倡倹俷倛倹倝俷倰倕俴倰俺倝倓值
俲倃倠倇倥倸倚倗倥倸俸倧倸倝倓倡倸倗俱倣倕倡俷個倓倊們倧倝倝倒倩倸 俱倷倒倡俷倴們倸倕倧們倇倥倸俸倠倛倡倉倴個們倝俷倰倛倝俸値倹俷俱倡倊倛倕倢倉俻倧倝俻倧倝倱倕倹倗俱倕倸倢倗俺們倰俺倒倗倸倢: “倆倦俷倱們倹俸倠倏倡俷倴們倸俴倸倝倒倰俲倹倢倳俸 倱倅倸倚們倱倕倹倗倇倥倸倰個倷倉倌倩倹俺倢倒倇倥倸倓倡倸倗倓倡倸倗俲倝俷俹倡倉倛們倢倒個倝俷 倎倩倄倴倄倹倚倨倄倒倝倄們倢俱倰倕倒!”
“俹倡倉俱倷倛們倢倒個倝俷倰倛們倧倝倉俱倡倉倉倠” 倛倕倢倉俻倧倝俻倧倝倎倩倄俱倦倸俷倰倕倸倉俱倦倸俷俸倓値俷
倰倗倸倒倝倗値倹倉俻倧倝: “俹倡倉倄倹倗倒”
“倰俱倸俷俸倓値俷倶 倱倞倠” 倰倛倝俸値倹俷倓倩倹倚倦俱俲倦倹倉們倢倇倡倉倇倥倗倸倢 倰倈倝俱倡倊俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倝倒倩倸俴倉倕倠們値倅値俱倡倉倰倕倒俸倓値俷倶 倰倈倝倒倡俷們倥倝倠倴倓倇倥倸倅倹倝俷倰倓倥倒倉倓倩倹倝倥俱倰倒倝倠們倢俱
俱倕倨倸們俴倉倇倥倸倒倧倉倏倡俷倝倒倩倸倄倹倢倉倉倝俱倛倹倝俷倰倓倥倒倉 倚倗倥倸俸倧倸倝倲倛倓倗俱倷俹倢倒倱倗倗個倓倠倛倕倢倄倳俸倰俺倸倉俱倡倉 倰倈倝倄倩倰倛們倧倝倉俸倠倰倓値倸們倰俲倹倢倳俸倱倕倹倗倗倸倢倇倣倴們倚倗倥倸俸倧倸倝倓倡倸倗倆倦俷倴倄倹倰個倷倉倱倏倉俴倕倡倊倅倡倗倒俷俲倝俷俸倢俷倛倒倢俷俲倉倢倄倉倥倹 倰俲倢們倥倰倚倉倸倛值倝倒倩倸倊倹倢俷俸倓値俷倶 倉倡倸倉倱倛倕倠
俻倩倰倇倥倒倉倝倥倹 俴倃倊倄倥俴倃倠俱倢倓倰俷値倉 們倛倢倗値倇倒倢倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倱倕倠倰倘倓候倀倘倢倚倅倓值倅倠倗倡倉倅俱倰俹倥倒俷倳倅倹 俸倹倢倗倰倒倥倸倒倉倰倏値俷 俴倃倊倄倥俴倃倠俱倢倓倰俷値倉 們倛倢倗値倇倒倢倕倡倒俺値俷倛倗倢 倓倗們倆倦俷俴倃倊倄倥俸倢俱們倛倢倗値倇倒倢倕倡倒俺倡倹倉倉倣倝倒倸倢俷 “個倡俱俱値倸俷-倏倩倸倅倡倹倉-倰俸倥倒倗倇俷” 倅倸倢俷俱倷個倡倄倰個倸倢俴倗倢們倚俷倚倡倒倰倓倧倸倝俷俱倢倓倲俱俷俲倝俷們倛倢'倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倞倩倸倅倩倇値倹俷倴個俸倉倛們倄倚値倹倉
倚倸倗倉倳倉俱倕倨倸們倳倛俽倸俲倝俷倚倢俲倢俱倢倓倕俷倇倨倉們倛倢'倕倡倒俱倢倓倰俷値倉倞倩倸倅倩 俲倹倝俴倗倢們俲倝俷倓倨倸倉倉倹倝俷俱倷倰倄倹俷俲倦倹倉們倢倓倡倗倶
[倛倕値倉倝倥倹俹倧倝] : 倱們倸倰俸倹倢倲倗倹倒! 倉倥倸們倡倉俴倧倝倓倨倸倉倎倥倸俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倳倉倅倣倉倢倉倰倕倒倰倛倓倝倰倉倥倸倒?
[倛倗倡俷倰俹倥倸倒倗] : 倝倠倴倓 XYXY, XXYY 倏倡俷倴們倸倰俲倹倢倳俸倰倕倒倚倡俱俴倣 倓倩倹倚倦俱倰倛們倧倝倉俴倗倢們倓倩倹們倡倉倴倛倕倌倸倢倉倚們倝俷倴個倰俹倒倶 倰倕倒倝倸倠 倱倅倸倓倨倸倉倎倥倸俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倛倕倸倝俸倓値俷倶 倉倠 倝倒倢俱俸倠倴倄倹倌倩倹俺倢倒俴倉倉倥倹!
[倛倕倥倸俹倥俹倥] : 倆倹倢倓倨倸倉倎倥倸俸倢俷倛倒倢俷倚倢倓倐倢倎倓倡俱俱倡倊俹倡倉倳倉倗倡倉 520 倉倠 倅倸倝倳倛倹倅倹倝俷俲倡倊倓倆倛倓倩 倝倒倩倸倊倹倢倉倛倕倡俷倳倛俽倸俹倡倉俱倷倒倝們!
[倰俹値倉倰俸倥倒倰倚倥倸倒倗] : 俱倕倒倨倇倈值 們倛倐倢俴 俴倃値倅倘倢倚倅倓值 俴倗倢們倓倩倹俴倗倢們倰俲倹倢倳俸… 倱們倸倰俸倹倢倲倗倹倒! 倏倡俷倊倓倓倒倢倒俸倊倱倕倹倗倓倩倹倚倦俱倰倛們倧倝倉倅倡倗倰倝俷俱倕倡倊們倢倰俱倸俷倝倥俱俴倓倡倹俷倱倕倹倗倕倸倠 倚倡個倄倢倛值倛倉倹倢倅倕倢倄 A 倳倛俽倸倅倹倝俷俻倗倒倱倉倸倶 倎倓倠倰倒俻倩們倢俱倷倛倹倢們俹倡倉倴們倸倴倄倹倱倕倹倗!